Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.050873 0.058175 0.065706 0.074021 0.082913 0.092109 0.102306
2025-07-13 0.042668 0.053869 0.066036 0.080087 0.095724 0.112465 0.131621
2025-07-20 0.032803 0.045629 0.060260 0.077833 0.098049 0.120296 0.146360
2025-07-27 0.028628 0.043032 0.060095 0.081188 0.106020 0.133857 0.166976
2025-08-03 0.024128 0.039334 0.058048 0.081834 0.110446 0.143059 0.182393
2025-08-10 0.020526 0.036256 0.056336 0.082515 0.114609 0.151721 0.196997
2025-08-17 0.017058 0.032884 0.053883 0.081971 0.117049 0.158170 0.208878
2025-08-24 0.013134 0.028319 0.049447 0.078566 0.115702 0.159897 0.215030
2025-08-31 0.010236 0.024814 0.046086 0.076248 0.115455 0.162745 0.222342
2025-09-07 0.008484 0.022834 0.044640 0.076278 0.118030 0.168914 0.233535
2025-09-14 0.007327 0.021664 0.044233 0.077611 0.122198 0.176988 0.246993
2025-09-21 0.006866 0.021666 0.045519 0.081234 0.129315 0.188704 0.264875
2025-09-28 0.005493 0.019856 0.044129 0.081356 0.132216 0.195650 0.277578
2025-10-05 0.005549 0.020926 0.047282 0.087988 0.143833 0.213675 0.304058
2025-10-12 0.003956 0.018199 0.044222 0.085639 0.143474 0.216634 0.312079
2025-10-19 0.003559 0.018034 0.045269 0.089187 0.150979 0.229520 0.332330
2025-10-26 0.002808 0.016799 0.044412 0.089869 0.154576 0.237423 0.346423
2025-11-02 0.002186 0.015675 0.043632 0.090588 0.158173 0.245299 0.360473
2025-11-09 0.001544 0.014191 0.042063 0.090013 0.159924 0.250758 0.371483
2025-11-16 0.000823 0.011859 0.038661 0.086418 0.157333 0.250487 0.375218
2025-11-23 0.000401 0.010104 0.036103 0.083968 0.156216 0.252040 0.381174
2025-11-30 0.000217 0.009205 0.035144 0.084000 0.158573 0.258116 0.392838
2025-12-07 0.000126 0.008742 0.035044 0.085409 0.162889 0.266780 0.407802